Thursday, November 28, 2013

NFL Predictions Week 13 - Thanksgiving Edition


Green Bay Packers (5-5-1) at Detroit Lions (6-5):

Being a Lions fan, I strongly dislike the fact that Matt Flynn is starting in Aaron Rodgers’ place. He knows the system as well as any other QB the Packers have signed in recent years, and he has a wealth of receiving talent, as well as Eddie Lacy, to help carry the load. The Packers’ defense is still decimated and looking weaker by the week, which bodes well for Reggie Bush, who hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 8 against Dallas, and for Matthew Stafford, who’s looked shaky at best the last three weeks. However, the Lions has a whole have shown they’re struggling with the immense pressure that comes from leading the division, and this week won’t be any different.

Green Bay Packers: 34-31

 

Oakland Raiders (4-7) at Dallas Cowboys (6-5):

The Cowboys have been playing .500 football for about as long as anyone can remember, but they did something they weren’t supposed to do last week: win. The win allows them to keep pace with the red-hot Eagles and gives them a shot at being two games over .500, which hasn’t happened yet this season. Tony Romo’s game-winning drive against New York showed a resolve the Cowboys have been lacking in the last month or so, and he managed to use nearly ever weapon at his disposal, including the almost-invisible Miles Austin. He’ll need that against a Raiders defense that, at times this season, has been lockdown (though have been a few … let’s call them slip-ups). Oakland has also managed to find the perfect formula to control the clock, relying on Matt McGloin to not make mistakes and on Rashard Jennings, and now Darren McFadden, to carry the bulk of the load. The Cowboys should take a step in the right direction today, but it won’t be easy.

Dallas Cowboys: 28-23

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-6) at Baltimore Ravens (5-6):

0-4 has to seem like an eternity ago for Steelers fans. For all the flak Mike Tomlin got for his “rules” in Pitt’s locker room, it seems to be working. Aside from a two-game slip to close out October, the Steelers have been nearly unstoppable, dominating the Jets and Ravens with suffocating defense, and assaulting the Bills, Lions and Browns through the air. Ray Rice looks like he got a jump start against Chicago two weeks ago, and Joe Flacco looked incredibly accurate on deep throws against the Jets, but this is a different beast. The Falcons are desperate, but Pittsburgh’s secondary won’t be giving up any wide-open 60-yard looks, and Rice is unlikely to gain much ground against a run defense that has gone from league’s worst to 11th overall in less than six games.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 17-16

 

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